Lucas Poullain vs Luca Potenza Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How have they performed on second serve points recently? Potenza has won 45.91%, while Poullain is slightly lower at 43.68%. This stat is often linked to match predictions.
• What's the return game comparison? Potenza's recent form shows he wins 45.41% of his opponent's second serve points, compared to Poullain's 47.9%. For first serve returns, Poullain leads with 31.78% over Potenza's 27.94%.
• Judging by breakpoint performance, Potenza saves 53.71% of breakpoints, edging out Poullain who saves 51.98%.
• In terms of overall match wins in the last year, Potenza has a win rate of 67.69%, slightly better than Poullain's 62.03%.
• Which surface suits them best? Both players perform best on Hard courts, but while Potenza has no wins on Grass, Poullain's weakest spot is Indoor Hard.
• Looking at tournament levels, both players have mainly competed in $10K ITF tournaments, with Potenza winning 69.49% of those matches, while Poullain slightly surpasses this with 70%.
• In their direct encounters, Potenza holds the edge, winning their only match in straight sets.
• Have they been tested in deciding sets? Potenza is more successful in deciding sets at 58%, whereas Poullain has a 50% success rate.
• Poullain converts more breakpoints, managing 40.07% compared to Potenza's 30.05%.
• Are they matched against similar-level opponents? Yes, with both competing against players having nearly identical average ranks of 475.

Editorial Prediction (July 26, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent form reveals that Potenza has a minor advantage in second serve points, a factor often critical to predicting match outcomes. Although Poullain's return game on first serves is stronger, Potenza's ability to save breakpoints could turn crucial against Poullain's slightly higher breakpoint conversion rate.

Historically, Potenza has bested Poullain in their only head-to-head match, which was played on Hard court - a surface both are comfortable on. Both players have demonstrated similar levels of competitiveness on the ITF circuit, although Potenza holds a slight edge statistically in deciding sets.

Considering all factors, while both players have shown strengths, Potenza is likely to triumph in their forthcoming match, bolstered by his previous win against Poullain and marginally better performance under pressure.